Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.394058 0.446365 0.504871 0.575508 0.658940 0.754913 0.874480
2024-10-06 0.319089 0.389248 0.475494 0.590825 0.743333 0.941470 1.224064
2024-10-13 0.270891 0.347803 0.448838 0.594373 0.803962 1.103635 1.581584
2024-10-20 0.233843 0.311878 0.419640 0.584047 0.837434 1.229402 1.917269
2024-10-27 0.207453 0.285450 0.397714 0.577521 0.871419 1.359065 2.293745
2024-11-03 0.194900 0.276417 0.398601 0.604026 0.960534 1.597120 2.939777
2024-11-10 0.180968 0.263201 0.390723 0.614189 1.022805 1.801937 3.597490
2024-11-17 0.165648 0.245885 0.373817 0.605829 1.049174 1.943765 4.174574
2024-11-24 0.151450 0.228759 0.355000 0.590882 1.059501 2.054544 4.724001
2024-12-01 0.141915 0.218201 0.345860 0.591900 1.101150 2.243338 5.565483
2024-12-08 0.135931 0.212899 0.345043 0.608227 1.177516 2.533531 6.856354
2024-12-15 0.128682 0.204710 0.338107 0.611373 1.225601 2.769022 8.121647
2024-12-22 0.119671 0.192860 0.323631 0.597968 1.235205 2.912847 9.188156
2024-12-29 0.115265 0.188824 0.323323 0.614214 1.319374 3.294102 11.487161
2025-01-05 0.109782 0.182340 0.317627 0.617969 1.373570 3.608840 13.812012
2025-01-12 0.103225 0.173337 0.306112 0.607134 1.387664 3.804013 15.773247
2025-01-19 0.097699 0.165839 0.296886 0.600286 1.411342 4.042108 18.252015
2025-01-26 0.096025 0.165513 0.302128 0.628111 1.539194 4.707199 24.280197
2025-02-02 0.092839 0.161995 0.300380 0.638784 1.619910 5.237494 30.405537
2025-02-09 0.088221 0.155317 0.291330 0.630003 1.639164 5.529812 35.261515
2025-02-16 0.083398 0.147916 0.280116 0.614310 1.633387 5.715187 39.607187
2025-02-23 0.080264 0.143716 0.275540 0.615379 1.683447 6.184225 48.082287
2025-03-02 0.078541 0.142265 0.276914 0.632522 1.793095 7.010504 63.604923